Sunday, July 17, 2011

Egypt Military Moves to Cement a Muscular Role in Government




CAIRO — The military council governing Egypt is moving to lay down ground rules for a new constitution that would protect and potentially expand its own authority indefinitely, possibly circumscribing the power of future elected officials.
The military announced Tuesday that it planned to adopt a “declaration of basic principles” to govern the drafting of a constitution, and liberals here initially welcomed the move as a concession to their demand for a Bill of Rights-style guarantee of civil liberties that would limit the potential repercussions of an Islamist victory at the polls.
But legal experts enlisted by the military to write the declaration say that it will spell out the armed forces’ role in the civilian government, potentially shielding the defense budget from public or parliamentary scrutiny and protecting the military’s vast economic interests. Proposals under consideration would give the military a broad mandate to intercede in Egyptian politics to protect national unity or the secular character of the state. A top general publicly suggested such a role, according to a report last month in the Egyptian newspaper Al- Masry Al- Youm. The military plans to adopt the document on its own, before any election, referendum or constitution sets up a civilian authority, said Mohamed Nour Farahat, a law professor working on the declaration. That would represent an about-face for a force that, after helping to oust President Hosni Mubarak five months ago, consistently pledged to turn over power to elected officials who would draft a constitution. Though the proposed declaration might protect liberals from an Islamist-dominated constitution, it could also limit democracy by shielding the military from full civilian control.
The military is long accustomed to virtual autonomy. Its budget has never been disclosed to Parliament, and its operations extend into commercial businesses like hotels, consumer electronics, bottled water and car manufacturing.
Some are already criticizing the military’s plans as a usurpation of the democratic process. Ibrahim Dawrish, an Egyptian legal scholar involved in devising a new Turkish constitution to reduce the political role of its armed forces, said the Egyptian military appeared to be emulating its Turkish counterpart. After a 1980 coup, the Turkish military assigned itself a broad role in politics as guarantor of the secular state, and in the process, contributed to years of political turbulence.
“The constitution can’t be monopolized by one institution,” he said. “It is Parliament that makes the constitution, not the other way around.”
Jurists involved in drafting the text say the Egyptian military told them to draw from several competing proposals that are circulating in Cairo. At least one assigns only a narrow, apolitical role to the military as guardian of national sovereignty. But others grant it sweeping authority and independence or a writ to intercede in civilian politics similar to the Turkish model.
Mr. Farahat said he was unsure of the wisdom of granting the armed forces a role in Egyptian politics, but he said he supported shielding the defense budget from public scrutiny as a guarantee of national security and military independence.
Others picked by the governing council to draft the declaration have argued publicly for a broad, Turkish-style role for the Egyptian armed forces in post-revolutionary politics. “The military in Egypt is unlike militaries in other countries where the military is isolated from the political life,” said Tahani el-Gebali, a judge involved in the drafting. “The military’s legacy gives it a special credibility, and hence it is only normal that the military will share some of the responsibility in protecting the constitutional legitimacy and the civil state.”
She said that she would prefer the governing council submit the declaration for up-or-down approval in a referendum, but that if it did not pass as expected, the document would derive its legitimacy from the authority of the governing military council.
The announcement of the declaration is a setback for the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamist group considered Egypt’s best-organized and most formidable political force. It was poised to win a major role in the new Parliament, and thus in the writing of the new constitution. The group has opposed liberal proposals to draft a constitution before parliamentary elections expected this fall or to postpone the elections long enough to let liberals catch up in organizing.
Liberals — most notably Mohamed ElBaradei, the former United Nations diplomat who is now running for president of Egypt — have advocated a code of agreed-upon universal rights as a compromise in the increasingly bitter debate between Islamists calling for an early election and liberals demanding a constitution first. Mr. ElBaradei, whose own proposal includes a provision that narrowly defines the military’s role guarding national security, said the declaration “really should be put to a referendum so it would have some legitimacy.”

Saturday, July 16, 2011

700,000 Football Fans to Descend on Ukraine



Alexander J. Motyl blog Next summer's UEFA championship will be messy and maybe interesting.

Silencing Dissent in Putin's Russia

V. Kara-Murzablog The Kremlin breathes new life into KGB-style strategies to protect elites and thugs while squashing dissent.

Confrontation Inevitable in Egypt?

Alaa Al Aswany Blog Egypt's military has adopted Mubarak's unilateral, top-down governing style as citizens grow increasingly restless.

Hillary and Condi Do Budapest

Roland Flamini feature Hillary Clinton and Condoleezza Rice remember Reagan and Lantos at ceremonies in Budapest.

Japan's Meltdown: Creative Destruction at Work?

Emily ParkerFeature Will crisis help Japan get out of its longstanding slump?


Hopeful Admiral Mullen in China

Gordon G. Chang



Dueling Legacies

Alan Johnson

BLOG

Yanukovych $10 Million Estate

Alexander J. Motyl



blog

Panhandling in Italia

Judy Bachrach
BLOG

Libya's Internet Free Revolution

Ann Marlowe
blog

Revolution Crossroads

Alaa Al Aswany

In Depth


Mena Unrest

IAEA Gives ‘Devastating’ Report to UN Security Council on Syrian NukesThe Jerusalem Post
Jordanian Police Beat Protesters at Amman DemonstrationThe New York Times

16 Killed During Syria’s ‘Friday of Freedom Prisoners’ Haaretz. Israel.
Five Killed, 22 Wounded in Yemeni City FightingThe Daily Star. Lebanon.
Egyptians Expand Protest for Faster DemocracyKhaleej Times. UAE.
Human Rights Group: Bahrani Brutality Continuing Despite TalksPressTV. Iran.

Tunisia’s Ousted Ben Ali to Face Two New Corruption TrialsThe Peninsula. Qatar.


Libya Crisis

Libyan Government: ‘We Will Kill Anyone Who Comes Near Our Oil’CNN
US Formally Recognizes Libyan Opposition as New GovernmentThe Washington Post
Human Rights Watch: ‘Libyan Rebels Have Looted and Burned Homes and Abused Civilians’CNN

NATO Leaders Come Together as Libya Contact Group Meets in Istanbul
Al Jazeera
Libyan Govt Rejects Russian Reports of Tripoli ‘Suicide Plan’
News24. South Africa.
UK to Increase Libyan Air Presence by Four More Planes
Reuters



Government Speak

Security Council: Comments on Resolution Ending the UN Mission in Sudan

White House: On the Conversation Between Presidents Obama and Medvedev

German PM Merkel: Germany Welcomes South Sudan to the International Community

White House: On John Brennan's Meeting With Yemeni President Saleh

European Union: Boosting Jobs with Funds for 'Education, Youth and Creativity'

France: Comment on the Ambassador's Visit to Hama and the Current Situation in Syria

Clinton:
Independence is a Step in the Right Direction, But S Sudan Has a Long Way to Go

Think Tanks

Regional Actors and The Fatah-Hamas Unity Deal The Henry Jackson Society. UK.
South Sudan's Challenge to Africa's Colonial Borders Council on Foreign Relations. US.
Arab Reactions to Bin Laden’s DemiseMoshe Dayan Center for Middle East and African Studies. Israel.

How Cuts Affect US-Pakistan Ties Council on Foreign Relations. US.
Cyber Attacks, Real or Imagined, and Cyber WarCenter for Strategic and International Studies. US.
Militants in Pakistan's Military: Signs of DangerS. Rajaratnam School of International Studies. Singapore.

15 July 2011

updated at 4:15 PM EST
US, Vietnam Begin Naval Drill Despite China’s ObjectionsRadio Free Asia. US.
First US Drawdown Troops Leave AfghanistanReuters
Turkish Military Launches ‘Major Offensive’ After Kurds Declare AutonomyThe Associated Press

Two Dozen European Banks ‘Put Under Official Pressure’ After EU Stress TestsThe New York Times
Documents Recovered in Abbottabad Raid Contain Plan for Attack on ObamaCNN

Italian Lower House Approves Austerity PackageBBC
EU Schedules Emergency Greece Summit for Next WeekThe Associated Press

Philippine President Aquino to Press China to Take Sea Dispute to UN The Straits Times. Singapore.
India: Bombing Will Not Derail Talks with PakistanThe Associated Press

US Ambassador Eikenberry: Kabul Bank was a ‘Giant Looting SchemeRFE/RL. Czech Republic.
Oil Spill Off China Coast Kept Secret, Now ‘Six Times Size of Singapore’The Straits Times. singapore.
Report: Wali Karzai’s Killer Had Previously Worked Against the TalibanUPI
Japanese Ban on Tokyo Airlines Enflames Territorial DisputeCNN
US Admiral Mullen: Visit to China ‘Positive’, But Differences ‘Still Stark’The China Post. Taiwan.
Indian Police Identify One of the Vehicles Used in Mumbai BombingsThe Hindu. India.
Japanese Nuke Agency Says It Has No Timeline for Stress TestsThe China Post. Taiwan.
Taliban Commander Reportedly Killed in June Drone Strike ‘Still Active’ Along AfPak BorderDawn. Pakistan.
ANALYSIS. Will the Mumbai Blasts Endanger the Fragile Indo-Pakistan Talks?Al Arabiya. Uae.
Cambodia FM Denies US Allegations of Khmer Rouge TiesBangkok Post
Nine Afghan Civilians Killed in Southern ProvinceTOLOnews. Afghanistan.

Pew Poll: Most West Europeans Believe China Will Supplant US as Leading PowerChina Daily
Three Militants Killed in Indian-Administered KashmirBBC

Pakistan Reiterates Commitment to Nuclear Deterrence Dawn. Pakistan.
Pakistan’s MQM Party Ready to Rejoin Ruling Coalition Shortly After Leaving for OppositionThe News. Pakistan.

Human Rights Watch Demands Investigation of US Waterboarding in ThailandAsia Sentinel. Hong Kong.
Ukraine’s Tymoshenko Banned from Courtroom for ‘Disrespectful’ Attitude Towards Judge RFE/RL. Czech Republic.
ANALYSIS. Collapse of N Korea Means ‘Unimaginable Nightmare’ for S Korea Asia Sentinel. Hong Kong.

MORE

China oil spill six times size of Singapore: govt




The spill from the oil field, which the United States' ConocoPhillips operates with China's state-run oil giant CNOOC, has polluted a total area of almost 4,250 sq km (1,650 square miles), government figures showed. -- PHOTO: AP


BEIJING - A HUGE oil spill off the Chinese coast has now contaminated an area around six times the size of Singapore, state media reported on Friday, as the government said it may seek compensation for the leak.
The spill from the oil field, which the United States' ConocoPhillips operates with China's state-run oil giant CNOOC, has polluted a total area of almost 4,250 sq km (1,650 square miles), government figures showed.
The figures, which were announced on the State Oceanic Administration website earlier this week but only reported on Friday, were almost five times the size of the 840-square-kilometre area previously reported.
The administration says that area remains worst affected by the spill, but that another 3,400 sq km have also been contaminated to a lesser degree by the oil.
The spill was kept secret by the authorities for several weeks before being made public this month, sparking suspicions of an official cover-up, and the disaster has triggered a furious public response in China.
State media said the government was considering seeking compensation from ConocoPhillips over the spill. 'We have made an initial plan to claim compensation from ConocoPhillips China,' the business daily 21st Century Business Herald quoted an unnamed official from the State Oceanic Administration as saying. 'But whether and how it will be implemented still depends on the status of plugging the leak.' -- AFP